According to Christine Kim, a researcher at Galaxy, it is estimated that there is a 60% possibility of Dencun being deployed on the Ethereum mainnet by the end of March, given the enthusiasm of Ethereum core developers for its release after the Goerli fork this week. The possibility of the Ethereum mainnet upgrading earlier in late February is not high, at around 30%. In addition, if developers discover unexpected and serious errors during the Dencun upgrade in Sepolia or Holesky, it may still be postponed until April or later.